... logic-inspired musings and observations formed along the way ...

Logic is all about relat­ing indi­vid­ual pieces of infor­ma­tion in a con­sis­tent way. “Consistent” means non-con­tra­dic­to­ry. An appar­ent ten­den­cy of two pieces of infor­ma­tion to appear incon­sis­tent calls for express dif­fer­en­ti­at­ing clar­i­fi­ca­tion, with the log­i­cal­ly required depth of dif­fer­en­ti­at­ing dis­cus­sion depend­ing on the extent to which both pieces of infor­ma­tion appear similar.
We had expressed our­selves con­fi­dent to be able to pre­dict the out­come of the 2020 US pres­i­den­tial elec­tion with a high degree of con­fi­dence based on finan­cial mar­ket behav­ior. What we fig­ured out – with the high­est degree of con­fi­dence – was that we were max­i­mal­ly uncer­tain about the out­come (keep­ing us in silent con­ster­na­tion). Which in hind­sight would appear exact­ly as the cor­rect assess­ment to have been made.
An Egyptian man takes a hostage at knife­point in the Milan cathe­dral, threat­en­ing to slit his victim’s throat. A once rep­utable Italian paper tells its read­ers that police “con­vinced him to lay down his weapon and release the hostage”, when in fact, for every­one to see on video, police had to force­ful­ly over­whelm him. The full and unredact­ed video, in turn, explodes on social media.
After it has come to light that “Black Lives Matter” is a marx­ist – and bla­tant­ly racist – orga­ni­za­tion that could not care less about equal oppor­tu­ni­ty but that, accord­ing to ral­ly signs exhib­it­ed by “activists”, sim­ply wants to “kill” or “eat the rich”, now the cli­mate change scare appears to be crum­bling to pieces as well: It appears we now have the Edward Snowden of cli­mate change alarmism.