... logic-inspired musings and observations formed along the way ...
Logic is all about relating individual pieces of information in a consistent way. “Consistent” means non-contradictory. An apparent tendency of two pieces of information to appear inconsistent calls for express differentiating clarification, with the logically required depth of differentiating discussion depending on the extent to which both pieces of information appear similar.
We had expressed ourselves confident to be able to predict the outcome of the 2020 US presidential election with a high degree of confidence based on financial market behavior. What we figured out – with the highest degree of confidence – was that we were maximally uncertain about the outcome (keeping us in silent consternation). Which in hindsight would appear exactly as the correct assessment to have been made.
It is early days for wanting to predict the outcome of the 2020 US presidential election based on financial market behavior, yet, pulling together the clues that I have picked up so far, it simply “feels” like 2016 once again.
An Egyptian man takes a hostage at knifepoint in the Milan cathedral, threatening to slit his victim’s throat. A once reputable Italian paper tells its readers that police “convinced him to lay down his weapon and release the hostage”, when in fact, for everyone to see on video, police had to forcefully overwhelm him. The full and unredacted video, in turn, explodes on social media.
After it has come to light that “Black Lives Matter” is a marxist – and blatantly racist – organization that could not care less about equal opportunity but that, according to rally signs exhibited by “activists”, simply wants to “kill” or “eat the rich”, now the climate change scare appears to be crumbling to pieces as well: It appears we now have the Edward Snowden of climate change alarmism.
“I went through a year-long organising programme … . We spent the year reading, anything from Marx, to Lenin, to Mao … “. All the while Karl Marx appears himself to have been anything but fond of black people.
The stock market continues to rise as we had written Thursday night was more likely than not, which does not quite seem logical given the headlines dominating world news. In a short break from pestiferous programming work, we hazard a quick attempt at a “logical” explanation “thinking around two corners”.
Some reflections on the stock market post COVID-19, the immediate outlook, trading in general, and a fundamental question with regard to science in emergencies.