COVID-19, many believe, has thrown the world into unprece­dent­ed dis­as­ter, and to those believ­ing so, the future looks bleak at best. But what if the oppo­site will prove to be true? Speculation is a noble occu­pa­tion, futures stud­ies an aca­d­e­m­ic dis­ci­pline, so we haz­ard a brief pre­view of the enor­mous eco­nom­ic and soci­etal gains for which the COVID-19 cri­sis may have just sown the seeds.
While in recent weeks we have been focused on estab­lish­ing and com­pre­hend­ing as deeply as pos­si­ble the immuno­log­i­cal “big pic­ture” in viral epi­demics from so far only part­ly inter­con­nect­ed evi­dence in the spe­cial­ist lit­er­a­ture, in order to derive action­able rec­om­men­da­tions, we briefly sum­ma­rize what has emerged in terms of feed­back as well as addi­tion­al insight with regard to our first arti­cle since it appeared.
Intelligent if uncon­ven­tion­al meth­ods employed by researchers have like­ly enabled a more real­is­tic view on the actu­al infec­tion rate and the relat­ed ques­tions of when herd immu­ni­ty will be achieved and what the real­is­tic death rate of COVID-19 actu­al­ly is. Understanding the true dynam­ics of the pan­dem­ic is cru­cial to tak­ing the most ade­quate pol­i­cy deci­sions going for­ward.
In this arti­cle, we sug­gest what we con­sid­er, in large part poten­tial­ly instead of dras­tic quar­an­tine for basi­cal­ly every­one, to be the most log­i­cal and most promis­ing approach to sur­viv­ing the Coronavirus pan­dem­ic, both on an indi­vid­ual and on a sys­temic lev­el. We draw con­clu­sions from infor­ma­tion uncov­ered and dis­cussed by the med­ical sci­en­tif­ic com­mu­ni­ty and by med­ical prac­ti­tion­ers, and give prac­ti­cal instruc­tions on what to do.
At loico, we had planned to launch our oper­a­tion with a rel­a­tive­ly com­pre­hen­sive suite of arti­cles, often fair­ly ambi­tious, on which we are work­ing con­cur­rent­ly. Due to the esca­lat­ing Coronavirus cri­sis, we feel forced to aban­don this roadmap and to imme­di­ate­ly start con­tribut­ing what we can to the ame­lio­ra­tion of the sit­u­a­tion and its even­tu­al res­o­lu­tion.